Read posts about obama

December 8

Brokaw quizzing Obama on Pigovian gas taxes (rianjs.net (Hanser)) by Rian

Right around the 7 minute mark on this past weekend's Meet the Press. (The video should start playing just as Brokaw asks him about it.)

Obama's response pretty much jives with what I said last week about now not being the right time, but when Brokaw pushed him, he kind of waffled on the possibility of a gas tax hike in the future. Impossible to read into his response at all because it'd be detrimental politically to do so. (Though if he slipped it in at the beginning of his term, it might be forgotten at the end of four years.)

Apologies if there are any ads. I would have embedded a YouTube video, but there don't seem to be any of decent quality/responsiveness up, yet.

Posted in: economics , gas tax , meet the press , obama , pigovian taxes , politics
November 12

Thoughts on this citizen's mind (rianjs.net (Hanser)) by Rian

The Obama transition team has a website up at change.gov, as many of you may know. Specifically, they have a section where you can share your thoughts with the transition team. I don't know if they are actually reading these submissions, but I wrote one up anyway. I'm sharing it here…

I'm going to set aside my inner cynic that someone will actually read this, and talk about what has been worrying me as a concerned US citizen. I know that there is only so much an administration can do to solve the myriad problems we face, and that trying to tackle too much at once is a recipe for universal failure. Therefore prioritization is obviously key.

My primary overarching concern over this country has been any lack of a long-term strategy. I don't mean for one specific area like the economy or healthcare, but I mean *any* kind of long-term strategy for *anything.* Thus far, it seems as though we've been shifting aimlessly from one priority to the next, dictated to us often by market prices of various commodities and shifting popular wants.

That's no way to run a country.

This list is not in any kind of prioritized order because I think all are equally important at the end of the day:

1) Education: The US has been falling behind in the ability of our high school graduates to afford and go to college. This is happening even as the entry-level requirement for many jobs is having a college degree (even though the particular job may not actually warrant it).

Almost universally, my college professors have publicly lamented the fact that high school graduates are not prepared for the intensity of the material that they face as freshmen in college. As a smart, in-touch individual, I know for a fact that my math was not up to par, and I went to an excellent public high school and graduated in the top 10% of my class. Our state colleges and institutions do a spectacular job, and we should continue to invest in them, but if a student is incapable of succeeding there thanks to a poor secondary education, something is wrong. Accountability in secondary schools is very important. Maybe we need better ways to measure student performance, I do not know. Something must be done, however, because we are falling behind countries like India whose high school students are better prepared for college than ours.

The gap between boys and girls continues to widen. While we've done very well by our girls in the last 20 years, our boys have languished. Education should not be a zero-sum game wherein one sex succeeds at the expense of the other. We have neglected boys and focused all of our efforts on girls, and this is neither fair nor desirable. Both sexes can succeed together, and our educators need to remember this, and not just recommend a visit to a pediatrician or psychiatrist for our boys because stimulant ADHD medication isn't the universal diagnosis and answer.

2) Healthcare: The US lacks any kind of long-term healthcare strategy or vision. While I believe that some form of universal healthcare coverage is both necessary and desirable, President-Elect Obama should stop saying that every person will be able to get health coverage like members of Congress have because this is not possible, nor is it desirable. When and if universal coverage happens, there will still be two tiers of healthcare. A basic, public tier, and a second private tier that citizens may opt to use if they desire to pay more. Please keep in mind that I say this with no malice toward the currently uninsured. My dad had a heart attack this past spring and waited 36 hours before going to the ER — because he knew that he would end up $50-80K in debt. (And he did.)

Secondly, politicians need to stop conflating the idea of universal health coverage with universal health access. The two are not the same. Just because you are covered doesn't mean you can see a doctor. We don't have enough doctors and physician extenders (Nurse Practitioners, Physician Assistants) in this country to see everyone, and going to the ER is not the answer either: they're already overcrowded.

Massachusetts is experiencing this now. While we are often looked to as some kind of model for the rest of the country, the reality is that our system is far from perfect. It's costing the taxpayers boatloads of money because healthy people that can afford to pay are NOT signing up at nearly the rates that the unhealthy poor are. After all, if you're healthy, you don't need preventative care, the colloquial thinking goes, and even if you do, it's cheaper to pay out-of-pocket to see a doc than it is to pay a high monthly premium. In Massachusetts, the accounting math isn't working out as expected because of this particular adverse selection catch-22. Complicating the financial problem, there are not enough primary care physicians in this state to see the massive influx of new patients which highlights the second point I made: coverage does not guarantee access. That means they go to the ER, which is inherently more expensive than an ambulatory office visit.

To reform healthcare meaningfully, you need to do it in a multi-phase manner:

  1. Attract the best and brightest back into medicine. That means making the idea of practice attractive which means real, honest-to-God tort reform, not lipservice. When a physician is paying more to medmal companies than s/he is taking home, there is a very serious problem. Talk about a disincentive to practice.
  2. Along those lines, we need more primary care physicians. That means paying them more. Right now, the RVRBS is stacked in favor of specialists, and members of the committee are appointed for life (stupid idea). PCPs do more patient visits than specialists on the order of 8:1, but they are not represented in anywhere near this ratio in the RVRBS committee. That means that procedures are over-valued and cognitive specialties (primary care, rheumatology, endocrinology, etc., etc.) are undervalued because it is difficult to measure the relative value of a cognitive visit. As a result, medical students are gravitating towards specialties which pay more, and the free market is not allowed to compensate for the relative lack of PCPs because the way reimbursement is calculated is fundamentally flawed. In the long-run, this means more expensive healthcare because patients will be seeing specialists instead of PCPs, simply due to lack of PCP supply.

Senator Obama has advocated investing in technology, which is very necessary, but electronic medical records and other efficiency concerns are not a panacea, either. The entire system is broken from top to bottom and improving efficiency in a superficial fashion will NOT solve the huge, underlying problems. A study recently published estimated that only 50 cents of every dollar spent in the name of healthcare is spent on patient care. That's a bigger problem than mere technological inefficiency.

3) Energy independence: Senator Obama has promised energy independence, and his message has not changed since his 2004 DNC keynote speech. Right now, our government is listing from priority to priority. Gas prices go up, and all of a sudden the public is clamoring for the government to "do something." Prices go down, and people stop caring, but we know that petroleum supplies are fixed and demand is effectively infinite. That means that eventually prices will go back up, and we need a long-term solution. Keeping the country's eye on the ball is the government's job, because it's clear that most private citizens cannot or will not.

Command and control government regulation is sexy and it makes it look as though government is "doing something" about our dependence on foreign oil, but a more progressive Pigovian tax is probably a better way to accomplish the goal of getting our automakers on-board with the next generation of propulsion than is mandating fuel efficiency and carbon emissions standards. Even if the money is returned in the form of an income subsidy, modifying demand is more effective than trying to legislate supply.

We need government intervention because energy independence and a healthy environment cannot be achieved by individuals acting by themselves — bless their hearts. It needs to be broad and bold in scale and impact. Replacing the light bulbs in your house and planting a few trees might be part of A solution, but it's obvious that it's not the ENTIRE solution.

4) Iraq: Iraq is the only US priority that seems to have a strategy under the Bush administration. While I believe firmly that the Iraq war was "dumb," like Senator Obama, we cannot simply leave and end up with a power vacuum in that nation. We messed it up, and now we should be on the hook to fix it. I am reminded of the lessons from the 70s in Afghanistan which allowed us to defeat the Soviets covertly, but ultimately paved the way for the Taliban because the US "wasn't in the business of nation-building". Money for war, but not for education and infrastructure-building. We can see the disastrous long-term consequences of these policy choices that we are dealing with even today.

5) Outsourcing and Globalization: O&G will continue under any administration, and we should not try to stop it. In the long run, it is good for our economy anyway. However we cannot forget the workers that have lost their jobs. Suggestions run the gamut for re-training builders and makers for the healthcare and technology sectors, but we cannot ignore the fact that people are not cattle to be herded in one direction or another. Many of these individuals don't want these jobs because building and making things is part of who their identity. They don't want to be nurses, phlebotomists and IT technicians. And they shouldn't have to be.

Instead we should gently nudge them in the direction of infrastructure repair (which needs to be a priority in the new administration) and the new renewable energy economy. With a focus on renewables and infrastructure repair, President-Elect Obama can employ the tens of thousands who have been laid off in fields that are not dissimilar to where they came from, which will keep them happier and more productive.

(Of course, if these people want to change careers completely, they should have these educational opportunities available as well, which ties into my thoughts about education.)

6) Public Service: The best and the brightest need to see government as a worthwhile place to spend their energies. The politics of the last decade has been toxic for self-actualized smart people, and they haven't wanted to go into public service. I know Senator Obama knows this, and simply by being open-minded and obviously intellectual, he has done a lot to change the stereotype of politicians and public service. For that, I am grateful, and I can honestly say that I am considering public service as a long-term career whereas under the Bush administration, such an idea would have been laughable. I know that there are many other smart people in my generation who feel the same way. For that, I am thankful.

Posted in: culture , economics , education , globalization , healthcare , iraq , obama , outsourcing , politics , public service , strategy , transition
November 7

I'm feeling optimistic about the next 4 years (rianjs.net (Hanser)) by Rian

Yes, another blogosphere election entry. I'm not here to gloat, though, but merely to point out that I am feeling really optimistic about an Obama administration. It is certainly landmark in this country's history, and it's something that I believe all rational Americans can feel proud of, regardless of who they voted for, if for no other reason than we've accomplished a few major things in one fell swoop:

  1. We have elevated America's status in the world. This was very important to me when it came time to choose, and this map (preserved here against link rot) played no small part in my choice. Globalization is here to stay, and Americans need to think more about what's going on outside their borders.
  2. We have broken the final racial barrier in this country once and for all. (I look forward to the day when we have a female Commander-in-Chief as well.)
  3. We have undermined real terrorist — as opposed to made-up terrorist — ideology in the Middle East and elsewhere by demonstrating that a black man with the name Barack Hussein Obama can be elected leader of the free world, showing much better than words could ever tell that we are indeed a nation that looks deeper than skin color; a nation that sees past a foreign-sounding name.

Senator McCain's concession speech was graceful, and I hope that this election did a lot to heal the wounds inflicted by the last two cycles that were further deepened by lawsuits before finally being ended prematurely by the Supreme Court, in the case of the 2000 election. I sincerely hope that we don't see any more elections like those for a long, long time. Senator McCain, despite his disaster of a campaign is, and always will be, a very classy man, and a man to be admired and respected. It is a pity that I could not vote for him. (I was too young in 2000, and he wasn't the best candidate in 2008.)

I voted for Senator Obama for many, many other reasons than the three I've mentioned above, not the least of which was the innate curiosity and equanimity with which he has approached everything from real politics to his day-to-day campaigning. More surprisingly, his message has not deviated over the years. Go back and watch his 2004 speech at the Democratic National Convention (part 1, part 2) and then go watch his acceptance speech at this year's DNC, and then watch his victory speech from a few nights ago.

His message hasn't changed in the last four years. That kind of consistency speaks volumes about a person and their convictions. No other candidate since I've been walking this earth has done anything even remotely similar. Every other candidate has been characterized by trying to find their voice and their message, but not Senator Obama. I like that.

Today Senator Obama gave his first news conference as President-Elect, and I watched the whole thing. It wasn't nearly as flashy or practiced as the speeches linked above, and this is to be expected: the audiences are different. What I was particularly interested in was the message, and it's not very similar to his campaign messages, except perhaps with more detail and less polish. Beginning at the 6 minute mark, Senator Obama begins taking questions from the reporters there, and it's clear that he intends to honor his campaign promises inasmuch as he humanly can in terms of policy, but more importantly, the promise he made about frank and honest communication with the public. This is in stark contrast to Bush in 2004 where he ran a campaign based on the premise of keeping America safe from terrorists, but instead went after gay marriage and aggressively tried to privatize social security after he won.

Back to Senator Obama's news conference, which I have embedded below. If you're not interested in the details, skip ahead to the six minute mark and listen to the questions, and the thoughtful and direct manner with which Senator Obama tries to answer them. This is a huge departure from American politics as usual, and it's this kind of behavior that leads me to believe even now, that Senator Obama is, and always was, the real deal. It's these kinds of subtleties that thrill me as a voter, and more importantly, as an American.

Posted in: communication , honesty , obama , politics , promises
November 6

Real America (a salmon of doubt (shade1978)) by David

During the recently-concluded Presidential campaign, quite a bit was said by one side about “real” America.

That’s why I found this article I came across today with letters from fourth graders so interesting. This was my favorite part:

Also I’m African American too and I might be just like you. When you get to the white house please try to stop the war for once and for all. Obama I’m very proud of you especially my mom. She’s really proud because she woke up 5:30 AM to go vote for you and I went with her.

THAT’S real America.

Posted in: inspirational , obama , personal , politics , real america
November 5

A momentous day: good job America! (Kilala.nl (Cailin Coilleach)) by Cailin Coilleach

I woke up this morning about twenty minutes after the election results were announced; around 0520 in this case. I couldn't wait to see the results so I checked the news while brushing my teeth ^_^

Good job America! I think you made the right choice! /o/

Posted in: america , awesome , elections , obama , thank god
November 4

Using the Web to Watch Election Results (Tiny Screenfuls (JoshB)) by Josh Bancroft

Every election is different - four years is a LONG time in Internet time. The tools and habits we have for getting our information can change a lot in four years. Here are some of the tools I’m using to track the election results today, besides my regular network of people on Twitter, FriendFeed, and blogs (which is where I get most of my news and information on any given day).

Google Maps Election Results

Pick your state, see live results. Get your own to embed on your site.

Google News Elections Coverage

Good summary of coverage from around the web. Has a nice mobile/iPhone version for keeping up away from a computer:

google_election_iphone.PNG

Twitter Vote Report

Interesting Twitter mashup, where people report conditions/experiences from their voting locations - wait times, any irregularities, etc. A real time stream of “on the ground” reports from Twitter, phone, SMS, and other means. Very cool grassroots project.

twittervotereport.jpg

Don’t miss the “See It In Action” page, which has a bunch of embeddable maps/widgets with lots of cool data.

What About You?

What sites/resources are you using to track the election results? If you’ve got something cool or interesting to share, post a comment! :-)

Update: Sarah Perez over at ReadWriteWeb has a much more exhaustive list of resources for getting your fill of this election. Video feeds, poll tracking sites, more mobile options, etc. If you’re looking for more election info, her post is a great place to start.

Update 2: Oh! And how could I forget http://election.twitter.com!

Posted in: 2008 , blog , election , google , mccain , obama , president
November 2

Presidential predictions and endorsements (OnThePharm (Hanser)) by RJS

The NYTimes has an interactive map that you can set to how you think each state will go, and you can view each state's polling data from the last election by clicking on it, and what current polls are saying about local trends. It's pretty neat, and I've been playing with it for about two weeks now.

Here are my predictions. You'll note it's Obama by an electoral and popular landslide:

Presidential predictions

I have Nevada going red even though recent polling data suggests that it will go Obama's way. For some reason I'm thinking that it will go Republican.

I'm also fairly certain that the Republican party has some serious thinking to do, and you'll see two schools of thought emerge:

  • A further rightward shift will solve all of their ills
  • A more progressive, center-leaning strategy

A further rightward shift would be suicide for Republicans at this point, just like Governor Palin ended up being the boat anchor for Senator McCain. While the idea was to "re-energize the base" to compensate for Senator McCain's relatively moderate political views, this was the wrong choice because hardcore conservatives were never going to vote for anyone but the Republican candidate to begin with. Rather, he needed to attract those independents that have been left out in the cold these last 8 years, and he only further alienated these voters.

A center-leaning strategy is their best chance, but it's my view that even a radical reinvention of the party will take the full four years to make its way into the American consciousness. The Republicans will not capture the Oval Office again unless they win Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania. Neither can the GOP afford to ignore the Northeast and West Coast, either. Most of the economic and educational outputs in this country are from these areas, and they rightly wield enormous political clout. It is my hope that the party does some serious soul-searching in the next few years and comes to the conclusions that it needs to have the best interests of the country at heart rather than the interests of big business and a small subsection of the population consisting of the middling rich and radical conservatives. (The super rich tend to vote Democrat.)

Speaking for myself, I have no particular litmus test for a presidential candidate, though I did when I was younger and the world seemed more black-and-white. Or rather, I thought I didn't have a litmus test, but I discovered — rather unpleasantly — that I do indeed have a few basic criteria that a candidate must meet: competence, curiosity, and equanimity. Governor Palin fails all of these in spectacular fashion, and her incredibly tenuous grasp of Constitutional fundamentals frightens me a great deal. It gives the lie to the McCain campaign slogan "Country First." Fortunately for the country, this short-sighted decision has backfired, and hopefully Governor Palin will go back to Alaska and quickly be forgotten as the national embarrassment that she is. A McCain-Romney or McCain-Lieberman ticket would have been a stronger bet. Coupled with better campaign management, I could see myself happily voting for a Republican ticket on Tuesday, but no longer.

Of course, Governor Palin is not herself running for office, and I have not seen Senator McCain himself exhibit much curiosity or equanimity these last few months. Rather, I have seen an angry man who hops from one stance to the next in an effort to find the most popular footing possible. I've seen a man who has run an campaign characterized by exclusive rhetoric; a man whose running mate has tried to characterize parts of America as being more "real" than others. That is not what this country needs right now. I do not believe that Senator McCain is incompetent, and I don't believe that he wants to see this country further divided into Red and Blue. However he did not choose a candidate who complements him — his admittedly poor grasp of basic macroeconomics coupled with his own lack of curiosity on the topic — makes for a dangerous combination when coupled with the likes of Governor Palin. It is quite clear that Senator McCain's VP pick was entirely political, and not in the best interest of this country.

Senator Obama, on the other hand, has displayed a remarkable sense of curiosity and equanimity throughout the entire campaign, and while his resume is indeed rather thin on both foreign policy and economic issues, I am comforted by the people he has chosen to surround himself with. His off-the-cuff reaction (page 2) to Senator McCain's move to cancel the first debate was certainly Presidential, and entirely unscripted. Senator Obama's VP pick displays a careful consideration of his own real strengths and weaknesses instead of just his political weaknesses. Senator Biden has rich foreign policy experience and is a member of the National Security Council. In economic terms, while a professor of constitutional law at the University of Chicago, Obama regularly spent time with professors from their renowned economics department, which demonstrates a necessary curiosity, and while lunchtime socialization does not equal real experience, Obama has surrounded himself with a team of economic advisors that's second to none. (Though I'm sure Greg Mankiw would disagree.)

I take strong issue with the idea of American exceptionalism, the idea that the rest of the world doesn't matter, and that somehow America operates in a global vacuum. This clearly isn't the case, as the collapse of the American financial markets has had a domino effect on the rest of the world. China's output is slumping due to falling consumer demand from America; Iceland is bankrupt and subsequently decided to go back to basics (i.e. tourism); the UK is on shaky financial ground even as Gordon Brown has engineered a unique bailout of their financial system, and the credit crunch is beginning to make its way down into the real economy. Despite these recent setbacks, globalization will and must continue, and America must repair her tarnished relationship with the rest of the globe, and the world overwhelmingly favors an Obama administration, by margins much greater than my own predictions: 9,115 to 203 electoral college votes. While the rest of the world is not voting, we must take into account their opinion because we have lots of ground to cover as we begin to unmake the current administration's mess.

Healthcare is not an issue that will change dramatically in the next four years. The medical blogosphere, of which I am a part, likes to talk about it regularly, but healthcare is so insignificant in the big picture right now that I view it as a non-issue. This country cannot afford a new social spending program on the order of magnitude that the likely winner, Obama, is proposing. And America will not be in a position to do so until she gets her feet back on solid ground.

Likewise, the educational funding proposals put forth by Senator Obama will also likely take a back seat for several years. When considering the costs of funding large-scale federal programs, one must take into account not just direct costs and where the money will be coming from today, but what spending that money today will mean for tomorrow. We do not exist in a temporal vacuum, and in a time where middle-eastern Sovereign Wealth Funds and Chinese banks are already reluctant to lend the US money, we must strongly consider whether these should be high priorities.

In my opinion, they should not, and should remain further down the list until we've gotten the rest of the country back on track. We must also consider the future, not just the next four years. How do we allocate our capital and labor to achieve the best results both for today and for our children? I believe that Senator Obama's green energy plans are better than Senator McCain's, though his lack of overt support for nuclear power concerns me. I also believe that while the healthcare sector will remain relatively stable even during this recession, it's going to be renewable energy that's going to power us out of our decline. Senator Obama wants to fix the economy and get this country on a path to energy independence. At this point energy independence is the same as renewable energy, and it's inextricably linked to growing out economy.

There will come a time for rethinking the US healthcare system, but that time isn't now. And when that time does roll around, we'll need to be talking more about revamping the system from its educational roots right up to a renewed focus on primary care as a cost saver and then on to our fractured tort system with many smaller milestones along the way.

In the meantime, we need a leader who is inclusive rather than divisive; a leader who can inspire; a leader who will be welcomed (gallery) with open arms by the rest of the world; and a leader can do a great deal for the image of this country simply by taking the Presidential Oath of Office; and a leader who supports rolling back the abuses of Executive power. For all of these reasons and many, many more, I will be voting for Barack Obama on Tuesday, November 4.

Posted in: biden , economics , election , foreign policy , healthcare , macroeconomics , mccain , obama , palin , politics
October 28

One more reason I'm voting for Obama (rianjs.net (Hanser)) by Rian

As if I even needed another reason…

"There are no real or fake parts of this country," he said, a reference to a Sarah Palin speech in North Carolina in which she said she was happy to be in "the real America" and praised "the pro-America areas of this great nation." Obama continued: "We are not separated by the pro-America and anti-America parts of this nation — we all love this country, no matter where we live or where we come from. There are patriots who supported this war in Iraq and patriots who opposed it, patriots who believe in Democratic policies and those who believe in Republican policies. The men and women from Indiana and all across America who serve on our battlefields may be Democrats and Republicans and Independents, but they have fought together and bled together and some died together under the same proud flag. They have not served a red America or a blue America — they have served the United States of America."

From Slate.

Posted in: obama , politics